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Market Prospects of Electric Vehicles: Modelling competition of alternative and enhanced conventional vehicle technologies

Schmid, SA and Mock, P and Propfe, B and Hülsebusch, D (2010) Market Prospects of Electric Vehicles: Modelling competition of alternative and enhanced conventional vehicle technologies. IAMF '10 - International Advanced Mobility Forum, 9.-10. März 2010, Genf, Schweiz.

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Abstract

Electric vehicles are competing with other alternatives and enhanced conventional vehicle technologies in the new vehicles market, driven by the need to reduce CO2 emissions of automobiles. The simulation tool VECTOR21 models a virtual market of vehicle propulsion technologies and customers buying new vehicles with a dynamic least-cost approach in order to fulfill specified CO2 goals for the future car fleet. Eventually, by comparison of two scenarios calculated with the model being calibrated for the German car market, we show conditions under which alternative vehicle technologies reach a break-through on the market.

Document Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Paper, Poster)
Title:Market Prospects of Electric Vehicles: Modelling competition of alternative and enhanced conventional vehicle technologies
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of Authors
Schmid, SAstephan.schmid@dlr.de
Mock, Ppeter.mock@dlr.de
Propfe, Bbernd.propfe@dlr.de
Hülsebusch, Ddirk.huelsebusch@dlr.de
Date:9 March 2010
Refereed publication:Yes
In ISI Web of Science:No
Status:Published
Keywords:VECTOR21, market shares, electric vehicles, modelling
Event Title:IAMF '10 - International Advanced Mobility Forum
Event Location:Genf, Schweiz
Event Type:international Conference
Event Dates:9.-10. März 2010
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport (old)
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:V UR - Schonung von Umwelt und Ressourcen (old)
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V UR - Schonung von Umwelt und Ressourcen
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - VECTOR21 (old)
Location: Stuttgart
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Vehicle Concepts > Technology Assessment
Deposited By: Bernd Propfe
Deposited On:09 Apr 2010 09:53
Last Modified:22 Nov 2010 10:38

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