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Techno-Economic Assessments of Fuel Cells and Batteries

Mock, Peter and Schmid, Stephan A. (2009) Techno-Economic Assessments of Fuel Cells and Batteries. In: Encyclopedia of Electrochemical Power Sources Elsevier B.V..

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Abstract

For assessing the chances of market introduction of a new technology it is necessary to judge its maturity and any likely future developments, especially in regard to technical properties as well as production costs. Patent and publication analyses give an insight on the current position of a technology regarding its life cycle and together with an analysis of research and development expenditures they allow a prediction of future development with respect to maturity. A detailed assessment of past progress of key technological parameters and their technical limits enables judgement of the probability of reaching target values set for the future. Examination of production costs using a combination of a top-down learning curve approach and a bottom-up mass production costs approach identifies potentials for future cost reductions. Finally, an integrated modelling taking into account development of competing technologies and a set of external influencing parameters helps to set up profound scenarios for future competitiveness of the technology and its supposable success on the market. The method of techno-economic assessment is applied to the technologies of fuel cells and batteries illustrating past developments and resulting in an outlook on a likely future introduction of both technologies with focus on the market for passenger car propulsion systems.

Document Type:Contribution to a Collection
Title:Techno-Economic Assessments of Fuel Cells and Batteries
Authors:
AuthorsInstitution or Email of Authors
Mock, PeterUNSPECIFIED
Schmid, Stephan A.stephan.schmid@dlr.de
Date:September 2009
Journal or Publication Title:Encyclopedia of Electrochemical Power Sources
Refereed publication:Yes
Editors:
EditorsEmail
Garche, JürgenUNSPECIFIED
Publisher:Elsevier B.V.
Status:Published
Keywords:Patent analysis, Publication analysis, R&D statistics, S-curve, Learning curve, Integrated modeling, Fuel cell vehicle, Battery electric vehicle, Patentanalyse, Publikationsanlyse, Analyse von Forschungsgeldern, S-Kurven, Lernkurven, Brennstoffzellenfahrzeuge
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Transport
HGF - Program Themes:Transport System
DLR - Research area:Transport
DLR - Program:V VS - Verkehrssystem
DLR - Research theme (Project):V - VECTOR21 (old)
Location: Stuttgart
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Vehicle Concepts > Technology Assessment
Deposited By: Peter Mock
Deposited On:20 Apr 2009
Last Modified:07 Feb 2013 19:21

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