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Probabilistic Two-Phase Aircraft Wake-Vortex Model: Further Development and Assessment

Holzäpfel, Frank (2006) Probabilistic Two-Phase Aircraft Wake-Vortex Model: Further Development and Assessment. Journal of Aircraft, 43, pp. 700-708.

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Official URL: http://www.aiaa.org/content.cfm?pageid=318&pubid=22


Further developments, applications, and assessments of the probabilistic two-phase aircraft wake-vortex model P2P are described. The wake-vortex model is applied to data of two field measurement campaigns accomplished at Tarbes airport, France. Measurements corroborate unambiguously the two-phase circulation decay anticipated by theory and predicted by P2P. Vortex age and descent speed are adjusted to match effects of axial wind and glide slope angle. Envelopes of vortex trajectories are expanded to consider tilting, stalling and rebounding wake vortices caused by axial- and crosswind shear. For probabilistic model output a choice between arbitrary degrees of probability is established and a stochastic prediction mode is introduced. In a deterministic scoring procedure, model perfomance is compared to the skill of another model. Probabilistic model performance is evaluated by the compilation of probability density distributions which relate wake vortex measurement data to the predicted envelopes.

Document Type:Article
Title:Probabilistic Two-Phase Aircraft Wake-Vortex Model: Further Development and Assessment
AuthorsInstitution or Email of Authors
Holzäpfel, FrankUNSPECIFIED
Date:May 2006
Journal or Publication Title:Journal of Aircraft
Refereed publication:Yes
In Open Access:No
In ISI Web of Science:Yes
Page Range:pp. 700-708
Keywords:wake vortex, prediction, measurement
HGF - Research field:Aeronautics, Space and Transport
HGF - Program:Aeronautics
HGF - Program Themes:L VU - Air Traffic and Environment (old)
DLR - Research area:Aeronautics
DLR - Program:L VU - Air Traffic and Environment
DLR - Research theme (Project):L - Wake Vortices (old)
Location: Oberpfaffenhofen
Institutes and Institutions:Institute of Atmospheric Physics > Cloud Physics and Traffic Meteorology
Deposited By: Dr.-Ing. Frank Holzäpfel
Deposited On:09 Mar 2007
Last Modified:11 Nov 2014 21:56

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